What effect might the fiscal cliff have on your taxes? Run the numbers!

November 30, 2012

Those numbers geeks at the Tax Policy Center are at it again.

They've come up with a fiscal cliff tax calculator (based on the version created back in the 2010 lame duck session when the Bush-era tax cuts were first set to expire) that gives us an idea of what our taxes might be depending on what happens with Congress and the president between now and the end of the year.

Since there are so many options floating around Capitol Hill on how to deal with this impending fiscal fall, TPC has given us several options to mull over.

We can compare four alternative tax policies to see how we might make out taxwise next year if:


  1. The 2012 law is continued. That's all of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts and the 2009 stimulus tax provisions still in force, along with an alternative minimum tax (AMT) patch in place;
  2. The 2013 law takes effect as scheduled this coming Jan. 1. This is what we've come to know and hate as the fiscal cliff and and which includes the expiration of most tax cuts enacted over the past decade, the end of the 2 percentage point employee payroll tax cut, the addition of new
    taxes under Obamacare and no AMT patch;

  3. The tax law in the 2013 Senate Democratic plan, passed in July, is accepted by the House. This would extend the Bush-era tax cuts for all but those in the top two brackets and keep many current and popular tax breaks; and 
  4. The tax law in the 2013 Senate Republican plan is enacted. This essentially would leave all the Bush-era tax laws in place.

Of course, every taxpayer is unique. So in addition to the six taxpayer scenarios TPC has devised as starting points …


Tax Policy Center fiscal cliff calculator excerptI love those illustrations! Click for a larger view.

… you can create your own custom filing specifics and run those numbers.

One more "of course" — TPC points out that the results from its fiscal cliff tax calculator are just estimates. For ease of use, says TPC, many items that would be included on actual tax returns are omitted.

And while I'm sure all y'all know this, TPC points out the calcualtor is not a tax preparation tool. It wouldn't be one even if we knew what form a final fiscal cliff deal might take.

But it is a fun Friday exercise for tax geeks, so enjoy!

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