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Obama budget preview

February 25, 2009

In case you missed the President's first address to the House, Senate and us television viewers last night, the Los Angeles Times' political blog Top of the Ticket has the full text of the speech.

So just what did Obama have to say about taxes? Not much, and that was essentially a plug for the Making Work Pay credit:

"If your family earns less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your
taxes increased a single dime. I repeat: not one single dime.  In fact,
the recovery plan provides a tax cut — that's right, a tax cut — for 95 percent of working families. And these checks are on the way."

We will, however, get a bit more detail tomorrow, when Obama's budget proposal is officially released.

What to look for tax-wise: There's a lot of speculation about just what we will see. In a nutshell, expect a decision to let Dubya's tax cuts for those earning more
than $250,000 to expire after 2010.

Among those expiring tax breaks is the provision for the current low capital gains rates.
For taxpayers in the four upper brackets, it's 15 percent. That will go
back to its previous 20 percent level on Jan. 1, 2011.

The rate for folks in
the two lower (10 and 15 percent) tax brackets is now zilch. Yep, it
was zeroed out (from a 5 percent rate) for the 2008 through
2010 tax years. That's a great benefit, but realistically, not many
lower income folks are big investors.

Presumably, that zero
percent rate for those folks also will be bumped back up to its
pre-Dubya level of 10 percent. But then again, Obama may decide to
continue to give these particular investors more of a capital gains
break.

There's talk that hedge fund and private equity executives will be
taxed on "carried interest." That's their share of profits on
investments, and it will be at the higher ordinary income tax rate
rather than the lower capital gains tax
rate as is now assessed.

Also don't be surprised by a rejiggering of the tax brackets to kick the top marginal income tax rate
to 39.6 percent.

And a limit on deductions for filers in the 33 percent and 35 percent tax brackets has been mentioned.

Other wish-list items: And, of course, there will be Obama's fiscal plans to fund health, energy and the environmental
programs. The Washington Post has an early look at the expected health care proposal.

Remember, too, that any president's budget is, in large part, a wish list. Ideas get floated, then tweaked  before — or if and when — they actually become law.

The process does, however, offer some insight into exactly what direction an administration wants to take.

Equal time: Oh yes, although we're not required to offer equal time, I do realize that there was a another side to last night's speechifying. The Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire has the text of Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal's response on behalf of the GOP,

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TO WRAP UP 2026

It’s over! With October’s extended filing deadline behind us, it is now time to focus on year-end moves to reduce your 2026 tax bill. 

You’ll find ways to do just that on the Tax Tips page (see the More Tax Posts drop-down menu at the top of the blog), as well as the separate tax tip pages for each month, notably October through December. If you’re on the Tax Tips page, you’ll find a monthly list at the end of this column. If you’re on another blog page, you can head straight to the October tips; at the bottom of that tips page you’ll find links to all the other 11 months’ collections of tax advice.

Not to spoil what you’ll find in that tax advice, but it does cover such things as tax deductions for charitable donations, investment moves that could reduce tax due, and ways to max out your tax-favored retirement savings. 

Finally, as the year winds down, things get hectic. There are lots of other things to occupy our time, like the much more fun upcoming holidays. But don’t lose sight of taxes, since timing is key. To be of use, most tax moves must be made by the end of the tax year. That’s Thursday, Dec. 31, which also is the last business day of the year. 

So that you don’t miss that final tax year deadline, also keep an eye on the countdown clock below. It will keep you on top of just how much time is left to make important, tax-saving moves. (Note: I’m in the Central Time Zone, so adjust accordingly for where you live.)

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