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Debt fears, interest costs for states, cities

August 16, 2011

Debt concerns are across the board, weighing on individuals, companies and governments. A major problem with debt, as the recent debt ceiling debate underscored, is the massive interest payments that accompany it.

Uncle Sam is not alone. The Tax Foundation has compiled a U.S. map illustrating how much debt interest each state pays as a percentage of its direct spending.

State interest payments Tax Foundation mapClick on the image for a larger view.

City downgrades on the way? As with the federal government, debt is a major component in the credit rating of each state and its cities.

Following the U.S. credit downgrade, there were reports that Standard & Poor's also was considering downgrading "thousands" of municipalities.

Before that other shoe dropped, however, the ratings agency backed off.

Perhaps the outcry about S&P's political considerations or its $2 trillion mistake or the rehashing of some of the ratings agency's previous questionable AAAs findings played a part.

Maybe S&P just wasn't in the mood to catch more heat from other government officials.

Whatever the reason, the official line from S&P was that it wants to see what the final pieces of the debt ceiling deal will bring. Well, we all have a pretty good idea, but if S&P wants to cool its heels for a while, fine.

But if a city is at risk of losing a good credit rating, a couple of weeks or months probably won't make much or a difference. "Clearly, in order to keep the system logical and coherent," Christopher Mier, a managing director at Loop Capital Markets, told reporters, "there’s going to be a lot of downgrades."

Congressional cuts to states might not be so bad: And speaking of Congress or more specifically, the Super Congress panel in charge of putting together a $1.2 trillion deficit reduction deal before they break for Thanksgiving, states are worried about what impending spending cuts might mean to them.

One analysis says that it might not be as bad as feared.

Marcia Howard, editor of Federal Funds Information for States, says that given the inevitability of some sort of federal deficit reduction, notes that the most immediate portion of the spending cuts in the debt deal are for discretionary programs, not mandatory entitlement programs such as Medicare, Social Security and, most important to states, Medicaid.

While the debt deal limits discretionary spending over the next ten years to $917 billion, Howard told Stateline that in actual dollar terms the impact will be reduced because the baseline assumes inflation-based spending growth.

Of course, that's just the first part of the deficit reduction plan. If the Super Congress can't reach a deal, automatic cuts will be triggered. But, notes Howard, many expensive programs are exempt from the trigger cuts, including some of the largest joint state-federal programs: Medicaid, the Children's Health Insurance Program, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (welfare) and the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program (food stamps).

According to Howard's analysis, roughly three-quarters of the money that the federal government currently sends to states would be excluded from the trigger's cuts.

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TAX-SAVVY WAYS 
TO WRAP UP 2026

It’s over! With October’s extended filing deadline behind us, it is now time to focus on year-end moves to reduce your 2026 tax bill. 

You’ll find ways to do just that on the Tax Tips page (see the More Tax Posts drop-down menu at the top of the blog), as well as the separate tax tip pages for each month, notably October through December. If you’re on the Tax Tips page, you’ll find a monthly list at the end of this column. If you’re on another blog page, you can head straight to the October tips; at the bottom of that tips page you’ll find links to all the other 11 months’ collections of tax advice.

Not to spoil what you’ll find in that tax advice, but it does cover such things as tax deductions for charitable donations, investment moves that could reduce tax due, and ways to max out your tax-favored retirement savings. 

Finally, as the year winds down, things get hectic. There are lots of other things to occupy our time, like the much more fun upcoming holidays. But don’t lose sight of taxes, since timing is key. To be of use, most tax moves must be made by the end of the tax year. That’s Thursday, Dec. 31, which also is the last business day of the year. 

So that you don’t miss that final tax year deadline, also keep an eye on the countdown clock below. It will keep you on top of just how much time is left to make important, tax-saving moves. (Note: I’m in the Central Time Zone, so adjust accordingly for where you live.)

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